
First published in the Chicago Free Press on February 15, 2006.
During the 2004 election campaign, the Bush administration hoped that its promotion of a Constitutional ban on gay marriage could help peel off 4 to 5 percent of the most theologically and socially conservative African Americans from the Democrats. But are African Americans as a whole more hostile to gay marriage than are whites?
Few if any recent polls on the issue offered a breakdown of data by black and white respondents. However, a recent report on black college freshmen provides some clues. The Higher Education Research Institute at UCLA, which annually surveys freshmen, issued a report based just on data from freshmen at 440 colleges and universities in fall 2004 who designate themselves “African American/Black.”
The survey did seem to find evidence that black freshmen were somewhat more likely than white freshmen to oppose gay marriage:
The separately issued comprehensive report on all freshmen, however, found that:
On the related question of whether “It is important to have laws prohibiting homosexual relationships”—presumably interpreted as prohibitions on gay marriage:
So in the aggregate, black freshmen do seem more likely than whites to oppose gay marriage and to favor (although by a lesser amount) prohibitions on gay marriage. But when examined carefully, the data on black freshmen reveal some interesting subgroup differences.
It turns out that:
Similarly:
It seems useful to try to determine reasons for these differences among black freshmen by college type. There are at least two obvious possibilities: location and religion.
First, the vast majority of black colleges are in the South, the most socially conservative section of the U.S. The main reason black colleges were founded in the first place was that state segregation laws in the Confederate south barred black students from attending white institutions. There are few black colleges in other parts of the country.
Second, freshmen at black colleges are more likely to state their religion as “Baptist”—-for many the conservative, black National Baptist Convention—than are black freshmen at mostly white schools:
The other obvious subgroup difference is between males and females—a difference that parallels white freshman opinion:
On the question about bans on “homosexual relationships:
And on both questions, among black freshmen at mostly white colleges both men and women are more pro-gay than freshman men and women at mostly black colleges.
What all this means for gay advocacy efforts—where gay groups should target their efforts, who can most persuasively represent gay concerns, what kind of arguments will be most persuasive—is a matter for the most tactically adept rather than the most politically doctrinaire members of our movement to determine. But three things seem obvious: